It's election day in Israel. We'll have more to say after the results are in, but allow me to offer you a quick prediction. Conventional wisdom and the polls suggest that the new, centrist party -- Kadima -- has the election all but locked up. I wouldn't be too surprised if Likud -- Israel's version of Hamas -- made a strong showing.
I predicted a Likud win right after Sharon dropped out of the race, and I'll stick to it. Hopefully I'm wrong (first time for everything).
See you with more analysis as the results come in. If you're an Israeli, go vote!
UPDATE: March 28, 12:00 --Polls just closed. Early indications are that I am thankfully wrong about Likud :
| 21:59 | Channel 2 exit poll: Kadima 32 seats, Labor 22, Likud 11 (Ch 2) |
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| 21:59 | Channel 1 exit poll: Kadima 29 seats, Labor 22, Yisrael Beiteinu 14 (Ch 1) |
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| 21:58 | Channel 10 exit poll: Kadima 31 seats, Labor 20, Likud 12 (Ch 10) |
Hey thanks for posting this...
liked the picture.
hope you're wrong about the likud, but i won't be surprised if you're right, though.
Reni.
Thanks, Reni -- and welcome to the Important Blog. I can't take credit for the photo -- that's the outstanding work of the BBC.
What a surprise, Erik is wrong about Israeli reality...;-P
Neither Likud nor any other party in Israel is comparable to Hamas because Israel doesn't have organized, international terror groups. Period. (And if a professor from your little institution of higher learning ever told you otherwise, Erik, give me his correspondence address.)